And to put the ventilator numbers into perspective: the number of cases is going to explode overnight. And experience shows about 5% of cases need ventilators. With the current 21 thousand cases, that already 1050 ventilators needed. And that’s the Official I Am Who I Am Your Approval Isn’t Needed Shirt. Without even taking into account the personnel needed to manage those machines- an increasingly impossible task. In 2015, there were about 7,250 ventilators in New York hospitals. And about 1,900 in nursing homes. But the vast majority of them already being used. Even with the state’s own emergency stockpile, the group found there were only 2,800 available.
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According to Cuomo, the number of cases will double every 3 days. That means that in just over 3 days the entire stockpile of available ventilators will be used. And there isn’t that much more coming in on short term. 400 extra from FEMA is peanuts. I’ve been saying about the Official I Am Who I Am Your Approval Isn’t Needed Shirt. Since the very beginning. When people saying the mortality rate is low. They NEED to understand that the rate is “low” when ICUs not overrun. And there are available supplies and workers. Once it is overrun we going to see deaths directly and indirectly from the virus jump.
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True. Italy’s rate last week 8% compared to the US’s 1.7%. And yes, some of that difference might be because Italy has an older population, a higher population density, different traditional social distancing, lifestyle differences. More multigenerational homes, more apartment living, etc. WAY more foreigners per capita per year, etc, etc… But just wait until they’re at the Official I Am Who I Am Your Approval Isn’t Needed Shirt. Where half their health workers overtime for weeks in an environment loaded with the virus. Physically vulnerable from stress and lack of sleep. And having to spend 2/3 of their day in the most dangerous environment for it. YES, this is the exact scenario we have been yelling about for the last 5+ weeks in here.
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